Release a8dda28b1aa3 Versions and sources

Cost · observed

What does it cost, in hours of your life?

A price is easier to feel as time than as money. Everything below is the published price divided by the wage of the year it was paid — so no inflation adjustment is applied, and none is needed.

Observed published series · nothing here is simulated · every figure links to its publisher

Observed Census median price and income · Freddie Mac 30-year rate

What buying a house cost

A 20% deposit and a 30-year fixed at that year's going rate, against that year's median household income. The line is the share of income the payment took, every year from 1984 to 2024.

1984 peak 1984 · 20242024

Peak burden 40% in 1984. Both the price and the rate move this line, and they have moved in opposite directions at times — 1984's 13.88% rate made a $79,950 house cost 40% of income, while 2024's 6.72% rate on $418,975 costs 31%.

1984

$79,950

Mortgage rate
13.88%
Monthly payment
$752
Share of median income
40% · cost burdened
Deposit, in months of income
8.6

2024

$418,975

Mortgage rate
6.72%
Monthly payment
$2,167
Share of median income
31% · cost burdened
Deposit, in months of income
12.0

What this leaves out. Property tax, insurance and PMI are excluded — no comparable national series runs the whole period, and inventing one would be worse than omitting it. Every year here is therefore a floor, understated by roughly the same amount, so the trend holds even though the level is low. The Atlanta Fed's Home Ownership Affordability Monitor includes those costs if you need the true level.

Check it: Median sales price ↗ 30-year rate ↗ Median household income ↗


Observed BLS average price series, actual dollars

Everyday things, in hours of work

Price divided by that year's average hourly wage. No inflation adjustment is applied or needed — the wage does that work. Most of these take less of a working life than they used to.

Eggs a dozen

5.5 minutes 8.1 minutes

costs more work than in 1985 · ×1.47

1980 peak 2025 · 20252025

$0.80 in 1985 · $4.25 today · $2.41 in today's dollars

BLS series ↗

Bread a loaf

3.8 minutes 3.6 minutes

costs less work than in 1985 · ×0.94

1980 peak 2008 · 20252025

$0.55 in 1985 · $1.87 today · $1.65 in today's dollars

BLS series ↗

Milk a gallon

13 minutes 7.8 minutes

costs less work than in 1996 · ×0.60

1996 peak 1996 · 20252025

$2.62 in 1996 · $4.07 today · $5.38 in today's dollars

BLS series ↗

Gasoline a gallon

8.3 minutes 6.2 minutes

costs less work than in 1985 · ×0.75

1976 peak 1981 · 20252025

$1.20 in 1985 · $3.26 today · $3.60 in today's dollars

BLS series ↗

Electricity a kilowatt-hour

33 seconds 21 seconds

costs less work than in 1985 · ×0.64

1979 peak 1984 · 20252025

$0.08 in 1985 · $0.18 today · $0.24 in today's dollars

BLS series ↗

Coffee a pound

18 minutes 16 minutes

costs less work than in 1985 · ×0.88

1980 peak 1980 · 20252025

$2.58 in 1985 · $8.18 today · $7.72 in today's dollars

BLS series ↗


How to read this, and what it cannot tell you

01

Three lenses disagree on purpose

The sticker price, the CPI-adjusted price, and the hours of work often move in opposite directions. Showing one and calling it the answer is how a page like this becomes an argument. The hours are led with because they need no inflation adjustment at all.

02

Why not just adjust for inflation

Because economists do not agree on the adjustment. The Boskin Commission found CPI overstated inflation by about 1.1 points a year; a substantial counter-literature argues the changes made since then understate it. A time price divides today's price by today's wage and sidesteps the dispute entirely.

03

What a time price hides

It credits wage growth, so it says nothing about who received that growth. It uses one worker's hour, not a household's. And it cannot see quality: a 2025 car is not a 1964 car, and no division fixes that.

04

This is observed, not modeled

Every figure here is a published series, linked to its publisher beside the number. Nothing on this page is simulated. That is the opposite of the rest of Pheme, and the distinction is the point.

Wage denominator: Average hourly earnings ↗ · price level: CPI ↗ · data 1964–2025 via FRED ↗.